
Okay, so this blogpost may not necessarily be what one might call “timely”, but it is still going out. Too many blogs have overlooked a major holiday recently, but I’m determined that our blog won’t make the same mistake.I’m speaking, of course, of Groundhog Day. Groundhog Day has fascinated since childhood for a couple of reasons. First, it struck me as quite odd that there would be a holiday dedicated to the pesky rodent that ate all the carrots in our garden in Rutland, Vermont. Second, I was amazed that said rodent had powers to predict the weather.
A couple of decades later, I’m working in an industry that is just as tough to predict as the weather. We often poll experts as to what will happen in the future, but often there is little consensus. On the other hand, two of the country’s leading groundhog weathermen (or is it weatherhogs?), Punxsatawney Phil and General Beau Lee both predict an early spring this year.
Do the groundhog weathermen have it right? We’ll have to wait a few weeks to see. I also may have to ask someone who doesn’t live in San Francisco, where our winters are milder than even the weakest salsa you can find in the Mission.
If these rodent prognosticators do well, though, I may head out to Golden Gate Park to find a squirrel to predict the housing market for 2007.
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February 7th, 2007 at 11:17 am
I go thru 100’s of real estate articles a day. It’s refreshing to read one not about user generated content, transparency, market activity, etc… With all the data you guys have, it’d be nice if you served up features akin to digital groundhogs.
February 7th, 2007 at 4:00 pm
Hi Travis,
Thanks for the comment. You can use the snapshot data on our real estate guide pages (http://www.trulia.com/real_estate/San_Francisco-California/ for San Francisco, for example) as the digital groundhog’s shadow, to stretch a metaphor. An area’s popularity, as measured by its share of Trulia traffic, is often correlated with the slope of sales prices and number of sales displayed in the graphs. And stay tuned for exciting product announcements coming down the pike in the next few weeks!